JobbersWorld is a Petroleum Trends International, Inc. Publication
JobbersWorld is a Petroleum Trends International, Inc. Publication

Supply Risk & Strategic Planning Suite

JobbersWorld Decision Tools

Supply Risk & Strategic Planning Suite

Practical tools to evaluate Group III exposure, supply disruption risk, revenue exposure, customer allocation, and inventory coverage.

Important: These tools are for informational, planning, and screening purposes only. They do not replace supplier communication, supply contracts, inventory systems, formulation review, OEM/specification validation, or commercial judgment.

Group III Stage Gate Portfolio Assessment

Purpose:
Evaluate whether a product in your portfolio should be treated as a sourcing priority, segmented, reformulated, or reduced from Group III exposure.

When to Use:
Use this when Group III availability is tight, prices are moving, or you need to decide which products deserve the most attention.

How to Use:
Select the responses that best describe the product’s dependence on Group III, its strategic importance, and how difficult it would be to reduce exposure.

At-Risk Revenue Analyzer

Purpose:
Estimate how much revenue and gross profit could be exposed if a supply disruption affects a product or segment.

When to Use:
Use this when a supplier allocation, Group III shortage, additive constraint, or logistics issue may limit your ability to serve demand.

How to Use:
Enter annual volume, sell price, gross margin, dependency level, and disruption severity. The tool estimates revenue and profit at risk.

Supply Shock Scenario Simulator

Purpose:
Estimate the impact of a supply disruption or demand surge on your ability to meet customer needs.

When to Use:
Use this when a supplier reduces allocation, Group III availability tightens, demand rises unexpectedly, or inbound supply is uncertain.

How to Use:
Enter expected monthly demand, available monthly supply, demand change, price, and gross margin. The tool estimates the shortfall and financial exposure.

Customer Allocation Tool

Purpose:
Help prioritize how limited supply should be distributed across customers when demand exceeds available product.

When to Use:
Use this when you cannot fulfill all customer orders, supply is constrained, or you need a structured way to think through allocation.

How to Use:
Enter available supply and each customer’s requested volume and margin. The tool prioritizes higher-margin customers first and shows unfilled demand.
Customer
Requested Gallons
Gross Margin %
Customer A
Customer B
Customer C
Customer D

Inventory Runout / Coverage Calculator

Purpose:
Estimate how long current inventory will last and whether inbound supply arrives before inventory becomes critical.

When to Use:
Use this when supply is tight, demand is changing, or you need to know whether current inventory can bridge the gap until replenishment arrives.

How to Use:
Enter current inventory, monthly demand, demand adjustment, inbound supply, days until inbound arrival, safety stock, and replenishment lead time.