Supply Risk & Strategic Planning Suite
JobbersWorld Decision Tools
Supply Risk & Strategic Planning Suite
Practical tools to evaluate Group III exposure, supply disruption risk, revenue exposure, customer allocation, and inventory coverage.
Important: These tools are for informational, planning, and screening purposes only.
They do not replace supplier communication, supply contracts, inventory systems, formulation review,
OEM/specification validation, or commercial judgment.
Group III Stage Gate
Decide whether a product should be protected, segmented, reformulated, or reduced from Group III exposure.
At-Risk Revenue
Translate supply disruption assumptions into revenue and gross-profit exposure.
Supply Shock Simulator
Estimate shortfall when demand exceeds available supply.
Customer Allocation
Prioritize limited supply across customer demand.
Inventory Runout
Estimate days of supply, runout risk, and reorder urgency.
Group III Stage Gate Portfolio Assessment
Purpose:
Evaluate whether a product in your portfolio should be treated as a sourcing priority, segmented, reformulated, or reduced from Group III exposure.
When to Use:
Use this when Group III availability is tight, prices are moving, or you need to decide which products deserve the most attention.
How to Use:
Select the responses that best describe the product’s dependence on Group III, its strategic importance, and how difficult it would be to reduce exposure.
Evaluate whether a product in your portfolio should be treated as a sourcing priority, segmented, reformulated, or reduced from Group III exposure.
When to Use:
Use this when Group III availability is tight, prices are moving, or you need to decide which products deserve the most attention.
How to Use:
Select the responses that best describe the product’s dependence on Group III, its strategic importance, and how difficult it would be to reduce exposure.
At-Risk Revenue Analyzer
Purpose:
Estimate how much revenue and gross profit could be exposed if a supply disruption affects a product or segment.
When to Use:
Use this when a supplier allocation, Group III shortage, additive constraint, or logistics issue may limit your ability to serve demand.
How to Use:
Enter annual volume, sell price, gross margin, dependency level, and disruption severity. The tool estimates revenue and profit at risk.
Estimate how much revenue and gross profit could be exposed if a supply disruption affects a product or segment.
When to Use:
Use this when a supplier allocation, Group III shortage, additive constraint, or logistics issue may limit your ability to serve demand.
How to Use:
Enter annual volume, sell price, gross margin, dependency level, and disruption severity. The tool estimates revenue and profit at risk.
Supply Shock Scenario Simulator
Purpose:
Estimate the impact of a supply disruption or demand surge on your ability to meet customer needs.
When to Use:
Use this when a supplier reduces allocation, Group III availability tightens, demand rises unexpectedly, or inbound supply is uncertain.
How to Use:
Enter expected monthly demand, available monthly supply, demand change, price, and gross margin. The tool estimates the shortfall and financial exposure.
Estimate the impact of a supply disruption or demand surge on your ability to meet customer needs.
When to Use:
Use this when a supplier reduces allocation, Group III availability tightens, demand rises unexpectedly, or inbound supply is uncertain.
How to Use:
Enter expected monthly demand, available monthly supply, demand change, price, and gross margin. The tool estimates the shortfall and financial exposure.
Customer Allocation Tool
Purpose:
Help prioritize how limited supply should be distributed across customers when demand exceeds available product.
When to Use:
Use this when you cannot fulfill all customer orders, supply is constrained, or you need a structured way to think through allocation.
How to Use:
Enter available supply and each customer’s requested volume and margin. The tool prioritizes higher-margin customers first and shows unfilled demand.
Help prioritize how limited supply should be distributed across customers when demand exceeds available product.
When to Use:
Use this when you cannot fulfill all customer orders, supply is constrained, or you need a structured way to think through allocation.
How to Use:
Enter available supply and each customer’s requested volume and margin. The tool prioritizes higher-margin customers first and shows unfilled demand.
Customer
Requested Gallons
Gross Margin %
Customer A
Customer B
Customer C
Customer D
Inventory Runout / Coverage Calculator
Purpose:
Estimate how long current inventory will last and whether inbound supply arrives before inventory becomes critical.
When to Use:
Use this when supply is tight, demand is changing, or you need to know whether current inventory can bridge the gap until replenishment arrives.
How to Use:
Enter current inventory, monthly demand, demand adjustment, inbound supply, days until inbound arrival, safety stock, and replenishment lead time.
Estimate how long current inventory will last and whether inbound supply arrives before inventory becomes critical.
When to Use:
Use this when supply is tight, demand is changing, or you need to know whether current inventory can bridge the gap until replenishment arrives.
How to Use:
Enter current inventory, monthly demand, demand adjustment, inbound supply, days until inbound arrival, safety stock, and replenishment lead time.